fivethirtyeight.com is my favorite election tracking site, from the Nate Silver who invented PECOTA for forecasting baseball performance. They’re must reading for me every day at this point, and really interesting stuff that doesn’t show up elsewhere for a few days or even a week. Below is what their electoral map looks like now — the darker the blue or red, the more a state is predicted to go to Obama or McCain, respectively. Lighter states are closer.
Anyway, things are looking good lately (in this respect, if not in many others, nationally), and I’d highly recommend everyone take a look at their site.
John's Blog 